Wednesday, October 1, 2008

Contest summary



These are not quite official (I need to check my spam queue for entries and maybe clean some things up), but this should be pretty close to what the official percentages end up being.

A number of these questions have taken interesting turns already, but that was inevitable.

We hope to update this thing every few weeks with what we might call “intelligently subjective” estimated standings and win probabilities. That said, here are (roughly) the percentage of contestants that took each side:

44.1 - Number of wins by the Texans
54.2 - Number of wins by the Panthers

27.1 - Number of wins by the Jaguars
72.9 - Number of wins by the Cowboys

20.3 - Number of wins by the Browns
79.7 - Number of wins by the Packers

35.6 - Number of wins by the Lions
64.4 - Number of wins by the Ravens

49.2 - Number of wins by the Cardinals
50.8 - Number of wins by the Redskins

64.4 - Number of wins by the Saints
35.6 - Number of wins by the Giants

71.2 - Number of wins by the Chargers
28.8 - Number of wins by the Raiders and Falcons combined

23.7 - Number of wins by the Rams and 49ers combined
76.3 - Number of wins by the team with the most wins

50.8 - Number of wins by the Bears
49.2 - Number of wins by the last place team in the AFC South

30.5 - Number of home wins by the Bills
69.5 - Number of road wins by the Colts

83.1 - Number of wins by AFC West teams
16.9 - Number of wins by NFC West teams

47.5 - Number of games started by QBs drafted in the 2008 draft
52.5 - Total number of TD passes thrown by the Jets.

27.1 - Number of receiving TDs by Randy Moss
72.9 - Number of combined receiving TDs by Sidney Rice, Vincent Jackson, Isaac Bruce, and Anthony Gonzalez

13.6 - Number of distinct players to have a 100-(or more)-yard rushing game
86.4 - Yardage of the longest passing TD thrown by a Falcon.

88.1 - Number of rushing yards by LaDainian Tomlinson
11.9 - Number of combined passing yards by all 49er players EXCEPT FOR the week one starting QB.

66.1 - Number of combined kick and punt return TDs by Devin Hester
33.9 - Number of combined kick and punt return TDs by Josh Cribbs

50.8 - Number of receiving TDs by Reggie Bush
49.2 - Number of rushing TDs by Vince Young

57.6 - Number of interceptions thrown by Kurt Warner
42.4 - Number of interceptions thrown by Chad Pennington

55.9 - Margin of the Chiefs biggest win.
44.1 - Number of Rushing TDs scored by (the Vikings’) Adrian Peterson

16.9 - Maximum number of points scored in a game by the Ravens
83.1 - Number of Passing TDs thrown by the league’s leader in passing TDs

81.4 - Number of rushing yards by Brian Westbrook and Steven Jackson combined
18.6 - Number of rushing yards by Jerious Norwood, Fred Taylor, and Maurice Morris combined

35.6 - Number of receptions by the player with the MOST receptions from this group: Jason Witten, Kellen Winslow, Antonio Gates
64.4 - Highest single-game receiving yardage by a player from this group: Owen Daniels, Tony Scheffler, Zach Miller

55.9 - Maximum number of passing TDs by a player from this group: Jeff Garcia, Chad Pennington, Trent Edwards
44.1 - Minimum number of passing TDs by a player from this group: Tony Romo, Peyton Manning, Carson Palmer, Ben Roethlisberger

49.2 - Number of players in the NFL’s top 10 in rushing yards who were born in the 1970s
50.8 - Number of players who throw 32 or more TD passes

44.1 - Number of games started by Brodie Croyle
55.9 - Number of games started by Kyle Orton

27.1 - Number of Kris Brown missed field goals
72.9 - Number of Edgerrin James rushing TDs

39.0 - Number of Larry Johnson rushing yards
61.0 - Number of Braylon Edwards receiving yards

55.9 - Number of total TDs scored by Marion Barber III
44.1 - Number of Mario Williams sacks

54.2 - Number of divisions whose 2008 champ is the same as the 2007 champ
45.8 - Number of divisions whose 2008 champ is NOT the same as the 2007 champ

18.6 - Number of postseason games decided by 7 or more points
81.4 - Number of rushing TDs by the player with the MOST rushing TDs from this group: Chris Johnson, Matt Forte, Kevin Smith, Ray Rice, Darren McFadden

28.8 - Number of playoff (non-Super Bowl) games won by the visiting team
71.2 - Maximum number of TDs thrown by Drew Brees in a single game

35.6 - AFC Championships by Patriots and Jaguars
64.4 - AFC Championships by all other teams combined

40.7 - NFC Championships by the NFC East
59.3 - NFC Championships by teams not in the East

67.8 - Number of points scored in the AFC Championship game
32.2 - Number of points scored in the NFC Championship game

30.5 - Number of playoff games won by NFC South teams
69.5 - Number of playoff games won by the Patriots

40.7 - Super Bowl Championships won by the Pats, Colts, and Chargers
59.3 - Super Bowl Championships won by all other teams

40.7 - Number of receptions by the player with the MOST receptions from this group: Ryan Grant, Darren McFadden, Ronnie Brown
59.3 - Total points scored in the Super Bowl

62.7 - Number of interceptions thrown in the Super Bowl
37.3 - Number of double-digit losses suffered by the Cowboys during the regular season.


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